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 Parallel Climate Model Ensemble Calculations and Processing

The DOE Parallel Climate Model is a comprehensive earth system climate model which includes state-of-the-art components of the atmosphere, ocean, land, and sea ice. It was designed and developed to run efficiently on contemporary distributed memory, multiple processor, cache based computer architectures.

During the past four years over 9000 years of the earth's climate have been simulated, including a 1000 year control simulation of the 1870 (pre-industrial) climate, ensembles of the historical 1870-2000 climate, and ensembles of various scenarios projecting climate changes thru the 21st century. The historical simulation set accurately reproduces many of the climate changes which have been observed during the 20th century, including the apparent variability caused by increases in the Greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols, and changes due to solar variance and volcanic activity. The future simulation set has been used by the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to evaluate the potential and magnitude of anthropogenic changes to the earth's climate.

The PCM simulation model also reproduces events, such as the El Nino in the central Pacific Ocean, which are believed to cause significant decadal climate variability. PCM output has been used by DOE colleagues to initialize regional climate models, in order that changes in waterflow patterns in the Pacific Northwest of the United States, for example, can be projected into the future.


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Updated: Tuesday, 25-May-2004 11:13:50 EDT
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